
doi: 10.1109/18.265505
Summary: If \((X^ N, Y^ N)\) on a probability space \((\Omega^ N, {\mathcal F}^ N, P^ N)\) converge in distribution to \((X,Y)\) on \((\Omega, {\mathcal F}, P)\), it is not necessarily true that the conditional expectations \(E^{P^ N} \{F(X^ N)\mid Y^ N\}\) converge in distribution to \(E^ P \{F(X)\mid Y\}\), even for bounded, continuous functions \(F\). The limits of the conditional expectations can be determined if it is possible to make an absolutely continuous change of probability measure, from \(P^ N\) to \(Q^ N\), so that, under \(Q^ N\), \(X^ N\) and \(Y^ N\) are independent. The aim of this paper is to extend this technique to the case where \(P^ N\) is ``non quite'' absolutely continuous with respect to this probability measure \(Q^ N\); but where there is a subset \(\Omega^ N_ 1\) of \(\Omega^ N\) such that \(P^ N\) restricted to \(\Omega^ N_ 1\) is absolutely continuous with respect to \(Q^ N\), and such that \(P^ N (\Omega^ N_ 1)\to 1\) as \(N\to\infty\). The convergence results for the conditional expectations are shown to be the same as when the absolutely continuous change of measure can be made directly -- the conditional expectations converge, but not necessarily to \(E^ P \{F(X)\mid Y\}\). A filtering application is examined, where a signal process \(X\) and observation \(Y\) satisfying a pair of stochastic differential equations, are approximated by the solutions \(X^ N\) and \(Y^ N\) of a pair of stochastic difference equations. If our approximating model employs noise increments with a density which must have compact support, conditions are given which ensure the expected convergence of the conditional expectations.
stochastic difference equations, absolutely continuous change of measure, Limit theorems in probability theory, filtering application, convergence of filtering approximations, Signal detection and filtering (aspects of stochastic processes), Stochastic ordinary differential equations (aspects of stochastic analysis)
stochastic difference equations, absolutely continuous change of measure, Limit theorems in probability theory, filtering application, convergence of filtering approximations, Signal detection and filtering (aspects of stochastic processes), Stochastic ordinary differential equations (aspects of stochastic analysis)
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