Predicting Solar Cycle 24 With a Solar Dynamo Model
Copyright policy ) Choudhuri, Arnab Rai; Chatterjee, Piyali; Jiang, Jie;
Predicting Solar Cycle 24 With a Solar Dynamo Model
Whether the upcoming cycle 24 of solar activity will be strong or not is being hotly debated. The solar cycle is produced by a complex dynamo mechanism. We model the last few solar cycles by `feeding' observational data of the Sun's polar magnetic field into our solar dynamo model. Our results fit the observed sunspot numbers of cycles 21-23 extremely well and predict that cycle~24 will be about 35% weaker than cycle~23.
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India
- Chinese Academy of Science China (People's Republic of)
- Chinese Academy of Sciences China (People's Republic of)
- Chinese Academy of Sciences (中国科学院) China (People's Republic of)
- Chinese Academy of Science (中国科学院) China (People's Republic of)
- National Astronomical Observatories China (People's Republic of)
Physics, Astrophysics (astro-ph), FOS: Physical sciences, Astrophysics
Physics, Astrophysics (astro-ph), FOS: Physical sciences, Astrophysics
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selected citations
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These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
Citations provided by BIP!popularityPopularity provided by BIP!
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
Popularity provided by BIP! 249
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