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Journal of the European Economic Association
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewed
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The Real Exchange Rate, Innovation, and Productivity

Authors: Alfaro, Laura; Cuñat, Alejandro; Fadinger, Harald; Liu, Yan-Ping;

The Real Exchange Rate, Innovation, and Productivity

Abstract

AbstractWe build a dynamic heterogeneous-firm model in which real depreciations raise export demand and the cost of importing intermediates, and also affect borrowing constraints and the profitability of engaging in research and development (R&D). A number of stylized facts on manufacturing firms for a large set of countries discipline our estimation: Firms in emerging East Asia are very export oriented and rely little on imported intermediates, whereas the opposite holds for Latin America and Eastern Europe; firms from industrialized countries export as much as they import. Exporters experience an increase in cash flow, R&D, and productivity growth in response to real exchange rate (RER) depreciations; importers experience the opposite outcomes. In counterfactual simulations of temporary RER movements, the effects on innovation and productivity growth are heterogeneous across regions, sizeable and persistent. In emerging Asia, real depreciations are associated with higher probabilities to engage in R&D, faster growth of average firm-level productivity and cash flow, and higher export entry rates; we find negative average effects on these outcomes for firms in other emerging economies, and no significant average effects for firms in industrialized economies.

Countries
Germany, Austria, United States
Related Organizations
Keywords

firm level data, productivity, 330, technological change, credit constraints, 502008 Development economics, O0, CMI, international economics, 502003 Foreign trade, 502003 Außenhandel, real exchange rate, ddc:330, Econometrics and Finance, exporting, General Economics, economic development, innovation, importing, 502008 Entwicklungsökonomie, Cat1, F0, General Economics, Econometrics and Finance

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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
13
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
hybrid