
doi: 10.1086/678044
Decision making typically requires judgments about causal relations: we need to know the causal effects of our actions and the causal relevance of various environmental factors. We investigate how several individuals’ causal judgments can be aggregated into collective causal judgments. First, we consider the aggregation of causal judgments via the aggregation of probabilistic judgments and identify the limitations of this approach. We then explore the possibility of aggregating causal judgments independently of probabilistic ones. Formally, we introduce the problem of causal-network aggregation. Finally, we revisit the aggregation of probabilistic judgments when this is constrained by prior aggregation of qualitative causal judgments.
aggregating beliefs about causal relations, 330, [SHS.PHIL]Humanities and Social Sciences/Philosophy, 150, aggregating probabilistic beliefs, Social choice, [SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, two-stage opinion pooling, Decision theory, [SHS.PHIL] Humanities and Social Sciences/Philosophy, Foundations and philosophical topics in statistics, mathematical economics;, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance
aggregating beliefs about causal relations, 330, [SHS.PHIL]Humanities and Social Sciences/Philosophy, 150, aggregating probabilistic beliefs, Social choice, [SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, two-stage opinion pooling, Decision theory, [SHS.PHIL] Humanities and Social Sciences/Philosophy, Foundations and philosophical topics in statistics, mathematical economics;, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance
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