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Pearl'S Law and the Growth of the Scottish National Party

Authors: K F Jones; N Kay;

Pearl'S Law and the Growth of the Scottish National Party

Abstract

An examination of the percentage of the total Soottish poll gained by the SNP at general elections between 1951 and 1974 inclusive suggested that a stable, sigmoidal growth process might be identified if elections were regarded as occurring at unit intervals in time. The resulting time service was extremely well-fitted by Pearl's Law, a theoretical growth curve possessing a signoidal trend, and a theoretical upper limit to growth. On the basis of this model, estimated of, and confidence intervals for, both this theoretical upper limit, and of the party's performance in the next general election were obtained.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
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