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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Article . 2008 . Peer-reviewed
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Standards of evidence and Paleoindian demographics

Authors: Douglas J. Kennett; Thomas W. Stafford; John Southon;

Standards of evidence and Paleoindian demographics

Abstract

Buchanan et al. (1) correctly identify accurate Paleoindian population estimates as an important test of the Younger Dryas boundary (YDB) extraterrestrial impact hypothesis (2). They claim that cumulative probabilities of 628 14C-dated components provide evidence for population continuity across the YDB. In fact, only 80 components fall within the interval of interest (≈11,500 to 10,500 14C years). Data quality is essential with small datasets, and their conclusions are invalid for the following reasons. (i) Only 14C dates with measurement precisions 2,000 years. (ii) Only bone dates processed with modern techniques [e.g., XAD (3) or ultrafiltration (4)] are valid because of the catastrophic consequences of poor chemical preparation (3). (iii) Stratigraphic associations between radiocarbon dates and cultural residues need to be demonstrated; e.g., much of the purported pre-11,000 14C years evidence used is now discredited. (iv) Single-component sites do not have the same credibility as multiple-occupation sites. (v) The potential for site discovery is not equal through time; destruction and preservation vary by region and are determined by burial depth, depositional environment, ground water geochemistry, and site type (e.g., kill, processing, or camp). Cumulative probabilities of outdated and inaccurate radiocarbon dates from poorly defined archaeological contexts do not provide meaningful proxies of past human demographics. Much more archaeological and chronological work is required to test the YDB extraterrestrial impact hypothesis.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
20
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
bronze