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IET Renewable Power Generation
Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY NC ND
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IET Renewable Power Generation
Article
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IET Renewable Power Generation
Article . 2022
Data sources: DOAJ
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Tidal current prediction based on fractal theory and improved least squares support vector machine

Authors: Anan Zhang; Yu Lin; Yangfan Sun; Haiyun Yuan; Min Wang; Guofeng Liu; Yiru Hu;

Tidal current prediction based on fractal theory and improved least squares support vector machine

Abstract

Abstract An accurate short‐term tidal current prediction is essential to optimize the operation mode of offshore microgrids. According to the correlation characteristics of tidal current speed and direction in time series, a tidal current prediction model is proposed by using fractal theory, dragonfly optimization algorithm and least squares support vector machine (DA‐LSSVM). First, the Rescaled range analysis (R/S analysis) in fractal theory is used to construct the tidal current analytic model with moving Hurst index of time series characteristics and Von‐Mises statistics (V statistic). The model evaluates the stability and autocorrelation of the tidal current and reveals the persistence of tidal current fluctuation. It also shows the orderliness hidden behind the randomness, indicating that the tidal current characteristics can be extended. Second, the least squares support vector machine is used to train the samples in high‐dimensional space, and the dragonfly algorithm is used to optimize the parameters of the least squares support vector machine to obtain the best prediction model. Finally, based on the empirical data recorded in the straits in North America, the model was used for the analysis and prediction of tidal current speed and tidal current direction, which verified the validity and accuracy of the proposed method.

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Keywords

TJ807-830, Renewable energy sources

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
5
Top 10%
Average
Average
gold