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Nature Communications
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https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/02...
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Other literature type . 2014
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DI-fusion
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Predicting the risk of avian influenza A H7N9 infection in live-poultry markets across Asia

التنبؤ بخطر عدوى إنفلونزا الطيور A H7N9 في أسواق الدواجن الحية في جميع أنحاء آسيا
Authors: Marius Gilbert; Nick Golding; Hang Zhou; G. R. William Wint; Timothy P. Robinson; Andrew J. Tatem; Shengjie Lai; +14 Authors
APC: 4,617.27 EUR

Predicting the risk of avian influenza A H7N9 infection in live-poultry markets across Asia

Abstract

AbstractTwo epidemic waves of an avian influenza A (H7N9) virus have so far affected China. Most human cases have been attributable to poultry exposure at live-poultry markets, where most positive isolates were sampled. The potential geographic extent of potential re-emerging epidemics is unknown, as are the factors associated with it. Using newly assembled data sets of the locations of 8,943 live-poultry markets in China and maps of environmental correlates, we develop a statistical model that accurately predicts the risk of H7N9 market infection across Asia. Local density of live-poultry markets is the most important predictor of H7N9 infection risk in markets, underscoring their key role in the spatial epidemiology of H7N9, alongside other poultry, land cover and anthropogenic predictor variables. Identification of areas in Asia with high suitability for H7N9 infection enhances our capacity to target biosurveillance and control, helping to restrict the spread of this important disease.

Countries
Australia, France, Belgium, United Kingdom
Keywords

Epidemiology, Influenza A virus subtype H5N1, Avian influenza virus, avian influenza virus, FOS: Health sciences, Influenza A Virus, H7N9 Subtype, Poultry, Food Supply, Agricultural and Biological Sciences, Identification (biology), Biosurveillance, Zoonoses, Internal medicine, animal diseases, Geography, Ecology, poultry, Commerce, Life Sciences, Epidémiologie, Sciences bio-médicales et agricoles, Highly pathogenic, Virus, Infectious Diseases, Environmental health, Archaeology, Regression Analysis, Medicine, Viral Hemorrhagic Fevers and Zoonotic Infections, China, Asia, Dynamics of Livestock Disease Transmission and Control, Risk Assessment, Article, Virology, 616, Influenza, Human, Health Sciences, Animals, Humans, Biology, Models, Statistical, livestock, Influenza in Birds, FOS: Biological sciences, marketing, Influenza Virus Research and Epidemiology, Agronomy and Crop Science, Epidemiological Patterns

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    161
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
161
Top 1%
Top 1%
Top 1%
Green
gold