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</script>doi: 10.1029/gm122p0185
Fracture network connectivity often dominates movement rate, flow volume, and mass transport through rock masses. These networks influence the effectiveness of petroleum reservoir development, safe disposal of nuclear waste, delineation of water supply or establishment of well-head protection plans, recovery from geothermal reservoirs, solution mining, construction of underground openings, and the remediation of contaminated rock. Well tests can provide a great deal of useful information on the hydraulic properties of fracture systems, but they are often expensive or logistically infeasible. These tests also may not provide an accurate description of the hydrologic properties of the rock volume under consideration. Methods to model fractured rock can be improved by quantifying the relation between geologic parameters and the hydrologically conductive fractures. This study illustrates the application of four statistical and pattern recognition methods-evaluation of correlation coefficients, contingency table analysis, multivariate regression, and neural net analysis. The data for the study consist of borehole and well-test information from eight boreholes used for characterizing a proposed low-level radioactive waste repository in Wake County, North Carolina. The analyses show that high localized flow rates are related to the presence of increased fracture intensity, and that this intensity is controlled by a complex interplay of structural geology and lithology. Some of the initial hypotheses concerning the relation of geology to hydrology were not substantiated by the data, leading to a refined conceptual model that differed in significant ways from the initial model. Although the techniques used are of general applicability, the precise nature of the correlation between geology and hydrology is site dependent.
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