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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
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Measuring non-exchangeable tail dependence using tail copulas

Authors: Takaaki Koike; Shogo Kato; Marius Hofert;

Measuring non-exchangeable tail dependence using tail copulas

Abstract

AbstractQuantifying tail dependence is an important issue in insurance and risk management. The prevalent tail dependence coefficient (TDC), however, is known to underestimate the degree of tail dependence and it does not capture non-exchangeable tail dependence since it evaluates the limiting tail probability only along the main diagonal. To overcome these issues, two novel tail dependence measures called the maximal tail concordance measure (MTCM) and the average tail concordance measure (ATCM) are proposed. Both measures are constructed based on tail copulas and possess clear probabilistic interpretations in that the MTCM evaluates the largest limiting probability among all comparable rectangles in the tail, and the ATCM is a normalized average of these limiting probabilities. In contrast to the TDC, the proposed measures can capture non-exchangeable tail dependence. Analytical forms of the proposed measures are also derived for various copulas. A real data analysis reveals striking tail dependence and tail non-exchangeability of the return series of stock indices, particularly in periods of financial distress.

Keywords

Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics, tail dependence coefficient, tail dependence, Statistics of extreme values; tail inference, 62H20, 62G32, tail dependence function, Mathematics - Statistics Theory, Statistics Theory (math.ST), tail copula, FOS: Economics and business, Risk Management (q-fin.RM), Actuarial mathematics, FOS: Mathematics, copula, Characterization and structure theory for multivariate probability distributions; copulas, tail non-exchangeability, Quantitative Finance - Risk Management

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
4
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green