
doi: 10.1017/asb.2016.30
handle: 11368/2904262
AbstractWe consider a Tweedie's compound Poisson regression model with fixed and random effects, to describe the payment numbers and the incremental payments, jointly, in claims reserving. The parameter estimates are obtained within the framework of hierarchical generalized linear models, by applying theh-likelihood approach. Regression structures are allowed for the means and also for the dispersions. Predictions and prediction errors of the claims reserves are evaluated. Through the parameters of the distributions of the random effects, some external information (e.g. a development pattern of industry wide-data) can be incorporated into the model. A numerical example shows the impact of external data on the reserve and prediction error evaluations.
Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics, hierarchical generalized linear models, Generalized linear models (logistic models), claims reserving, conditional mean square error of prediction, Claims reserving, Tweedie’s compound Poisson model, h-likelihood, Tweedie's compound Poisson model, hierarchical generalized linear model, Risk theory, insurance, Claims reserving; Tweedie’s compound Poisson model; conditional mean square error of prediction; hierarchical generalized linear models; h-likelihood, \(h\)-likelihood
Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics, hierarchical generalized linear models, Generalized linear models (logistic models), claims reserving, conditional mean square error of prediction, Claims reserving, Tweedie’s compound Poisson model, h-likelihood, Tweedie's compound Poisson model, hierarchical generalized linear model, Risk theory, insurance, Claims reserving; Tweedie’s compound Poisson model; conditional mean square error of prediction; hierarchical generalized linear models; h-likelihood, \(h\)-likelihood
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