
We consider a Markov chain that iteratively generates a sequence of random finite words in such a way that the $n^{\mathrm{th}}$ word is uniformly distributed over the set of words of length $2n$ in which $n$ letters are $a$ and $n$ letters are $b$: at each step an $a$ and a $b$ are shuffled in uniformly at random among the letters of the current word. We obtain a concrete characterization of the Doob-Martin boundary of this Markov chain. Writing $N(u)$ for the number of letters $a$ (equivalently, $b$) in the finite word $u$, we show that a sequence $(u_n)_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$ of finite words converges to a point in the boundary if, for an arbitrary word $v$, there is convergence as $n$ tends to infinity of the probability that the selection of $N(v)$ letters $a$ and $N(v)$ letters $b$ uniformly at random from $u_n$ and maintaining their relative order results in $v$. We exhibit a bijective correspondence between the points in the boundary and ergodic random total orders on the set $\{a_1, b_1, a_2, b_2, \ldots \}$ that have distributions which are separately invariant under finite permutations of the indices of the $a'$s and those of the $b'$s. We establish a further bijective correspondence between the set of such random total orders and the set of pairs $(μ,ν)$ of diffuse probability measures on $[0,1]$ such that $\frac{1}{2}(μ+ν)$ is Lebesgue measure: the restriction of the random total order to $\{a_1, b_1, \ldots, a_n, b_n\}$ is obtained by taking $X_1, \ldots, X_n$ (resp. $Y_1, \ldots, Y_n$) i.i.d. with common distribution $μ$ (resp. $ν$), letting $(Z_1, \ldots, Z_{2n})$ be $\{X_1, Y_1, \ldots, X_n, Y_n\}$ in increasing order, and declaring that the $k^{\mathrm{th}}$ smallest element in the restricted total order is $a_i$ (resp. $b_j$) if $Z_k = X_i$ (resp. $Z_k = Y_j$).
24 pages, revised to deal with reviewer's comments
vase model, Plackett-Luce model, Statistics & Probability, shuffle, 05A05, 60J10, 68R15, 68R15, math.PR, Mathematical Sciences, Vase model, 05A05, harmonic function, Subword counting, FOS: Mathematics, binomial coefficient, Mathematics - Combinatorics, math.CO, bridge, Bridge, Permutations, words, matrices, Combinatorics on words, Applied Mathematics, Statistics, Probability (math.PR), sub-word counting, exchangeability, Applied mathematics, Banking, Markov chains (discrete-time Markov processes on discrete state spaces), subword counting, Exchangeability, Harmonic function, Binomial coefficient, 60J10, Finance and Investment, Combinatorics (math.CO), Mathematics - Probability, Shuffle
vase model, Plackett-Luce model, Statistics & Probability, shuffle, 05A05, 60J10, 68R15, 68R15, math.PR, Mathematical Sciences, Vase model, 05A05, harmonic function, Subword counting, FOS: Mathematics, binomial coefficient, Mathematics - Combinatorics, math.CO, bridge, Bridge, Permutations, words, matrices, Combinatorics on words, Applied Mathematics, Statistics, Probability (math.PR), sub-word counting, exchangeability, Applied mathematics, Banking, Markov chains (discrete-time Markov processes on discrete state spaces), subword counting, Exchangeability, Harmonic function, Binomial coefficient, 60J10, Finance and Investment, Combinatorics (math.CO), Mathematics - Probability, Shuffle
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