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handle: 10278/37681 , 11392/1871838
A vast body of literature suggests that the European Alpine Region is amongst the most sensitive socio-ecosystems to climate change impacts. Our model represents the winter tourism socio-ecosystem of Auronzo di Cadore, located in the Dolomites (Italy), which economic and environmental conditions are highly vulnerable to climate variations. This agent-based model includes eight types of agents corresponding to different winter tourist profiles based on their socio-economic background and activity targets. The model is calibrated with empirical data while results are authenticated through direct interaction of local stakeholders with the model. The model is then used for assessing three hypothetical and contrasted infrastructure-oriented adaptation strategies for the winter tourism industry, that have been previously discussed with local stakeholders, as possible alternatives to the ''business-as-usual'' situation. These strategies are tested against multiple future scenarios that include: (a) future weather conditions in terms of snow cover and temperature, (b) the future composition and total number of tourists and (c) the type of market competition. A set of socio-economic indicators, which are strongly coupled with relevant environmental consequences, are considered in order to draw conclusions on the robustness of the selected strategies.
Alpine tourism; Spatial agent-based model; Climate change; Adaptation strategies; Social Simulation, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24242, P40 - Météorologie et climatologie, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_2736, changes, environnement socioéconomique, adaptation aux changements climatiques, adaptation, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_26824, 910, assessing, modèle de simulation, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_117, Adaptation strategies; Alpine tourism; Climate change; Social simulation; Spatial agent-based model;, tourisme, Engineering, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_7822, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374567058134, E14 - Économie et politique du développement, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_7328, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, destination, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_36208, climate, changement climatique, model, U10 - Informatique, mathématiques et statistiques, alpine, 000 - Autres thèmes, contrôle continu, agent, demand, spatial, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_9000056, strategies, tourism, modélisation environnementale, sport, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_4026
Alpine tourism; Spatial agent-based model; Climate change; Adaptation strategies; Social Simulation, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_24242, P40 - Météorologie et climatologie, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_2736, changes, environnement socioéconomique, adaptation aux changements climatiques, adaptation, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_26824, 910, assessing, modèle de simulation, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_117, Adaptation strategies; Alpine tourism; Climate change; Social simulation; Spatial agent-based model;, tourisme, Engineering, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_7822, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1374567058134, E14 - Économie et politique du développement, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_7328, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, destination, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_1666, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_36208, climate, changement climatique, model, U10 - Informatique, mathématiques et statistiques, alpine, 000 - Autres thèmes, contrôle continu, agent, demand, spatial, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_9000056, strategies, tourism, modélisation environnementale, sport, http://aims.fao.org/aos/agrovoc/c_4026
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 65 | |
popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% | |
influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% |