
Score-driven models provide a solution to the problem of modelling time series when the observations are subject to censoring and location and/or scale may change over time. The method applies to generalized-t and EGB2 distributions, as well as to the normal distribution. A set of Monte Carlo experiments show that the score-driven model provides good forecasts even when the true model is parameterdriven. The viability of the new models is illustrated by fitting them to data on Chinese stock returns.
dynamic conditional score model, Censored distributions, EGARCH models, generalized t distribution, logistic distribution
dynamic conditional score model, Censored distributions, EGARCH models, generalized t distribution, logistic distribution
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