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Article . 2021
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Ecological Economics
Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
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Extreme heat and stock market activity

Authors: Peillex, Jonathan; El Ouadghiri, Imane; Gomes, Mathieu; Jaballah, Jamil;

Extreme heat and stock market activity

Abstract

We aim to advance our understanding of the adverse effects of extreme temperatures by examining the extent to which high temperatures affect stock market activity. We address this question by analyzing the trading volumes on the French stock market on days when the weather in Paris is excessively hot over the period 1995-2019. Our empirical analyses show that, on average, trading volumes fall significantly (between 4 percent and 10 percent) when maximum daily temperatures exceed 30°C (86°F). The observed negative association is remarkably robust to a battery of alternative analyses such as bin tests, event studies, and time-series regressions controlling for any seasonal effects and financial market conditions. From a theoretical perspective, this study contributes to the literature on behavioral finance by demonstrating the existence of a "hot weather" effect on financial markets. It also offers important managerial and public policy implications.

Country
France
Keywords

trading volume, [QFIN.GN] Quantitative Finance [q-fin]/General Finance [q-fin.GN], [QFIN.CP] Quantitative Finance [q-fin]/Computational Finance [q-fin.CP], high temperatures, global warming, [QFIN.PM] Quantitative Finance [q-fin]/Portfolio Management [q-fin.PM], behavioral finance, market activity, [QFIN.ST] Quantitative Finance [q-fin]/Statistical Finance [q-fin.ST], [SDE.ES] Environmental Sciences/Environment and Society, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance

  • BIP!
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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    28
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
28
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
bronze