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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Drug and Alcohol Dep...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
Drug and Alcohol Dependence
Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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Crude estimates of prescription opioid-related misuse and use disorder populations towards informing intervention system need in Canada

Authors: Jürgen Rehm; Thepikaa Varatharajan; Kevin D. Shield; Benedikt Fischer; Wayne Jones;

Crude estimates of prescription opioid-related misuse and use disorder populations towards informing intervention system need in Canada

Abstract

Numerous interventions aimed at addressing the Canadian 'opioid crisis' have been implemented. However, no empirical estimaes of the number of people with problematic prescription opioid (PO) use exist to inform and guide intervention system needs.The annual numbers of Canadian adults (≥ 15 years) with PO misuse and/or use disorders ('addiction') were estimated by combining data on the prevalence and associated 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs) of PO use in the Canadian population, obtained from national surveys, with PO misuse and use disorders transition probabilities, obtained from high-quality studies in recent meta-analyses. Uncertainty Intervals (UI) were estimated using Monte Carlo simulations.Population estimates of PO use were highest in 2008, with 5,967,046 (95% CI: 5,635,543-6,326,173) people using POs (representing 21.6% of adults), and lowest in 2015, with 3,941,935 (95% CI: 3,580,842-4,272,937) people using POs (13.1%). Furthermore, PO misuse and use disorders were highest in 2008, with 1,408,223 (95% UI: 878,686-1,951,211; 5.1% of adults) and 525,100 (95% UI 258,288-801,472; 1.9%) people with PO misuse and use disorders respectively. These numbers declined to 930,297 (95% UI: 576,083-1,295,310; 3.1% of adults) and 346,890 (95% UI: 168,310-532,941; 1.2%) people with PO misuse and use disorders, respectively, in 2015.While seemingly declining over-time, the crude population estimates for problematic PO use were high, likely outweighing current intervention capacities. Furthermore, these estimates do not account for the delay of onset and duration of PO misuse and disorders. Thus, more rigorous problem population estimates should be generated to guide interventions.

Keywords

Adult, Male, Canada, Health Services Needs and Demand, Opioid-Related Disorders, Analgesics, Opioid, Population Surveillance, Surveys and Questionnaires, Humans, Female, Prescription Drug Misuse

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
34
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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