
Forecasting ET0 is important for agricultural production and irrigation scheduling.Differences of performance between compared ELM models are not very significant.Results showed that ELM ET0,AHARG can be applied to forecast ET0 effectively. This study presents an extreme learning machine (ELM) approach, for estimating monthly reference evapotranspiration (ET0) in two weather stations in Serbia (Nis and Belgrade stations), for a 31-year period (1980-2010). The data set including minimum and maximum air temperatures, actual vapour pressure, wind speed and sunshine hours was employed for modelling ET0 using the adjusted Hargreaves (ET0,AHARG), Priestley-Taylor (ET0,PT) and Turc (ET0,T) equations. The reliability of the computational model was accessed based on simulation results and using five statistical tests including mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean absolute deviation (MAD), root-mean-square error (RMSE), Pearson correlation coefficient (r) and coefficient of determination (R2). The validity of ELM modelled ET0 are compared with the FAO-56 Penman-Monteith equation (ET0,PM) which is used as the reference model. For the Belgrade and Nis stations, the ET0,AHARG ELM model with MAPE=9.353 and 10.299%, MAD=0.142 and 0.151mm/day, RMSE=0.180 and 0.192mm/day, r=0.994 and 0.992, R2=0.988 and 0.984 in testing period, was found to be superior in modelling monthly ET0 than the other models, respectively.
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 86 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 1% | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% |
