
arXiv: 2012.05072
handle: 1959.13/1478573
This paper considers parameter estimation for nonlinear state-space models, which is an important but challenging problem. We address this challenge by employing a variational inference (VI) approach, which is a principled method that has deep connections to maximum likelihood estimation. This VI approach ultimately provides estimates of the model as solutions to an optimisation problem, which is deterministic, tractable and can be solved using standard optimisation tools. A specialisation of this approach for systems with additive Gaussian noise is also detailed. The proposed method is examined numerically on a range of simulated and real examples focusing on the robustness to parameter initialisation; additionally, favourable comparisons are performed against state-of-the-art alternatives.
FOS: Computer and information sciences, Computer Science - Machine Learning, Machine Learning (stat.ML), Systems and Control (eess.SY), Electrical Engineering and Systems Science - Systems and Control, Machine Learning (cs.LG), Methodology (stat.ME), Statistics - Machine Learning, FOS: Electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering, Nonlinear systems in control theory, System identification, parameter estimation, nonlinear models, Statistics - Methodology, system identification, variational inference, assumed density
FOS: Computer and information sciences, Computer Science - Machine Learning, Machine Learning (stat.ML), Systems and Control (eess.SY), Electrical Engineering and Systems Science - Systems and Control, Machine Learning (cs.LG), Methodology (stat.ME), Statistics - Machine Learning, FOS: Electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering, Nonlinear systems in control theory, System identification, parameter estimation, nonlinear models, Statistics - Methodology, system identification, variational inference, assumed density
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