
pmid: 24903584
The two problems are mathematically and formally equivalent. As Daniel Kahneman, the Nobel prize winning psychologist explains in his book, Thinking Fast and Slow (2012), if the probability of being a bank teller/having a pneumothorax is p(A), and the probability of being a feminist/having a ruptured spleen is p(B), then the probability of having both is p(A) 9 p(B), which by definition is always less than the smaller of p(A) and p(B). Yet a majority of undergraduate psychology students will choose the normatively incorrect
Thinking, Cognition, Education, Medical, Research, Decision Making, Humans, Psychological Theory, Probability
Thinking, Cognition, Education, Medical, Research, Decision Making, Humans, Psychological Theory, Probability
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