
The authors propose to use Christmas tree densities for the risk neutral densities and set up a Bayesian framework for studying the densities. A method for inferring the volatility from the risk neutral density is proposed. The authors apply this method to data on the S\&P 500 index.
Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics, inverse problems, risk neutral densities, diffusion model, Christmas tree densities, Markov chain Monte Carlo, Numerical analysis or methods applied to Markov chains, Christmas tree densities, risk neutral density, Markov chain Monte Carlo, inverse problems, diffusion model, Nonparametric estimation, Diffusion processes
Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics, inverse problems, risk neutral densities, diffusion model, Christmas tree densities, Markov chain Monte Carlo, Numerical analysis or methods applied to Markov chains, Christmas tree densities, risk neutral density, Markov chain Monte Carlo, inverse problems, diffusion model, Nonparametric estimation, Diffusion processes
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