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Climate Dynamics
Article
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Climate Dynamics
Article . 2014 . Peer-reviewed
License: Springer TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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The ENSO-Australian rainfall teleconnection in reanalysis and CMIP5

Authors: King, AD; Donat, MG; Alexander, LV; Karoly, DJ;

The ENSO-Australian rainfall teleconnection in reanalysis and CMIP5

Abstract

Australian rainfall is strongly influenced by El Nino-southern oscillation (ENSO). The relationship between ENSO and rainfall in eastern Australia is non-linear; the magnitude of La Nina events has a greater effect on rainfall than does the magnitude of El Nino events, and the cause of the non-linearity is unclear from previous work. The twentieth century reanalysis succeeds in capturing the asymmetric ENSO-rainfall relationship. In the reanalysis the asymmetry is strongly related to moisture availability in the south-west Pacific whereas wind flow is of less importance. Some global climate models (GCMs) in the coupled model intercomparison project (CMIP5) archive capture the asymmetric nature of the ENSO-rainfall relationship whilst others do not. Differences in thermodynamic processes and their relationships with ENSO are the primary cause of variability in model performance. Analysis of an atmosphere-only run of a GCM which fails to capture the non-linear ENSO-rainfall relationship is also conducted. The atmospheric run forced by observed sea surface temperatures shows no significant improvement in the ENSO-rainfall relationship over the corresponding coupled model run in the CMIP5 archive. This result suggests that some models are failing to capture the atmospheric teleconnection between the tropical Pacific and Australia, and both this and a realistic representation of oceanic ENSO characteristics are required for coupled models to accurately capture the ENSO-rainfall teleconnection. These findings have implications for the study of rainfall projections in the region.

Country
Australia
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Keywords

13 Climate Action, 550, anzsrc-for: 0405 Oceanography, anzsrc-for: 3702 Climate Change Science, anzsrc-for: 0406 Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience, 37 Earth Sciences, anzsrc-for: 37 Earth Sciences, anzsrc-for: 3708 Oceanography, 551, 3702 Climate Change Science, anzsrc-for: 0401 Atmospheric Sciences, 3701 Atmospheric Sciences, 3708 Oceanography, anzsrc-for: 3701 Atmospheric Sciences

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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
39
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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bronze