Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Computational Statis...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
Computational Statistics
Article . 1999 . Peer-reviewed
License: Springer TDM
Data sources: Crossref
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
zbMATH Open
Article
Data sources: zbMATH Open
DBLP
Article . 1999
Data sources: DBLP
versions View all 3 versions
addClaim

Identification of the order of a fractionally differenced ARMA model

Authors: Johan Lyhagen;

Identification of the order of a fractionally differenced ARMA model

Abstract

Let \(X_t\) be, in general, a nonstationary time series. The model under consideration is an autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA(p,d,q)) model given by \((1-L)^d x_t= (\Theta(L)/\Phi(L)) \epsilon_t\), where \(\epsilon_t\) is a white noise with variance \(\sigma^2\), \(L\) is a lag operator, i.e. \(L^k \epsilon_t = \epsilon_{t-k}\), \(\Theta (L)\) is a moving average polynomial of order \(q\), \(\Phi (L)\) is an autoregressive polynomial of order \(p\) and \(d\) is a real number. This paper examines by means of Monte Carlo simulations the performance of three information criteria such as: (1) AIC criteria, (2) BIC criteria due to Schwarz, (3) Hannan and Quinn criteria HQIC, when order \(d\) must be identified and \(X_t\) is long memory. The author restricted the study to ARFIMA(1,d,1) models and found that BIC outperforms AIC and HQIC, at least for models used in the simulations (only fractional AR or only fractional MA models). BIC behaves consistently, and the underestimation in small samples disappears as the sample size grows. It implies that combining BIC and maximum likelihood gives consistent estimates of the parameters. But it occurs that none of the criteria performs well when there are both AR and MA nonzero parameters in the true process.

Related Organizations
Keywords

Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), time series analysis, autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average, Monte Carlo methods, selection procedures, information criteria

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    2
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
Upload OA version
Are you the author of this publication? Upload your Open Access version to Zenodo!
It’s fast and easy, just two clicks!