
doi: 10.1007/bf02741315
handle: 11368/1700478
The authors propose a technique of order selection in the self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) time series models which is based on the bootstrap estimate of the true prediction power of the model. This approach is compared with some versions of Akaike's information criteria (AIC) via simulations. Application to the classical Canadian lynx data is also considered. The authors conclusion is that an unbiased bootstrap procedure outperforms AIC.
Akaike information criterion, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), self-exciting threshold autoregressive time series, Akaike information criterion - AR-sieve bootstrap - bootstrap model selection criteria - moving block bootstrap - self-exciting threshold autoregressive models - unbiased Akaike information criterion, AIC, Nonparametric statistical resampling methods
Akaike information criterion, Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), self-exciting threshold autoregressive time series, Akaike information criterion - AR-sieve bootstrap - bootstrap model selection criteria - moving block bootstrap - self-exciting threshold autoregressive models - unbiased Akaike information criterion, AIC, Nonparametric statistical resampling methods
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