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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Applied Mathematics-...arrow_drop_down
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Applied Mathematics-A Journal of Chinese Universities
Article . 1995 . Peer-reviewed
License: Springer TDM
Data sources: Crossref
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
zbMATH Open
Article . 1995
Data sources: zbMATH Open
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On approximation of optimal stopping of bayesian sequential test for a normal mean

On approximation of optimal stopping of Bayesian sequential test for a normal mean
Authors: Wan, Fanghuan; Wu, Xizhi;

On approximation of optimal stopping of bayesian sequential test for a normal mean

Abstract

We present a simple and direct approach in which supermartingales are used to approximate the optimal stopping sets associated with the Bayesian sequential test for normal population means. Serveral conclusions are given. The sequential tests for normal population means often arise from or are created through approximations or transformations in practice. A standard case is as follows. Let \(X_ 1, X_ 2, X_ 3,\dots\) be a sequence of mutually independent observations from a normal population \(X\) with distribution \(N(\theta, \sigma^ 2)\). We want to test \(H_ 0: \theta\leq 0\) versus \(H_ 1: \theta>0\). Suppose that the cost of a wrong decision is \(r(\theta)= k| \theta|\), and the cost of sampling by time \(n\) is \(c_ 0 n\). When does the parameter \(\theta\) have the prior distribution \(N(\theta_ 0, \sigma^ 2_ 0)\), and what is the optimal Bayes sequential strategy (provided \(\sigma^ 2\), \(\sigma^ 2_ 0\), \(\theta_ 0\), \(k\) and \(c_ 0\) are known)? The numerical optimal solution of the problem can directly be obtained via backward induction, but analytic approximation is still necessary. A classical analytic approximation is related to the solution of a heat equation with free boundary. In Section 2, we establish a proposition based on which one can select certain supermartingales to encompass the approximation of the optimal stopping sets directly. This proposition is applied to the Bayesian sequential test for a normal population mean. Certain approximate optimal stopping sets are given in Section 3. Finally we compare our approximations with previous ones.

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Keywords

Sequential statistical analysis, Bayesian inference, approximate optimal stopping sets, optimal Bayes sequential strategy, Optimal stopping in statistics, normal population means, supermartingales

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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