
doi: 10.1007/bf00052037
Ecological succession theory deals with temporal change in biological communities. It consists largely of generalizations based on temporal sequences inferred from spatial ones. The predictive content of the theory is low, since predictions are derived from unconditional trends rather than conditional laws. There exist several conflicting theories purporting to explain successional change, but their empirical vacuousness prevents an assessment on empirical terms. It is argued here that one can nevertheless advocate a theory which accounts for the ubiquity of successional change and explains the most conspicuous characteristics of the successional process, even though it cannot predict the detailed dynamics. Such a theory is derived here from an analysis of adaptive strategies.
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