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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao https://doi.org/10.1...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-...
Part of book or chapter of book . 2014 . Peer-reviewed
License: Springer Nature TDM
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A Novel Harmony Search Algorithm for One-Year-Ahead Energy Demand Estimation Using Macroeconomic Variables

Authors: Sancho Salcedo-Sanz; José Antonio Portilla-Figueras; Jesús Muñoz-Bulnes; Javier del Ser; Miren Nekane Bilbao;

A Novel Harmony Search Algorithm for One-Year-Ahead Energy Demand Estimation Using Macroeconomic Variables

Abstract

In this paper we tackle a problem of one-year ahead energy demand estimation from macroeconomic variables. A modified Harmony Search (HS) algorithm is proposed to this end, as one of the novelties of the paper. The modifications on the proposed HS include a hybrid encoding, with a binary part to carry out a feature selection, and a real part, to select the parameter of a given prediction model. Some other adaptation focussed on the HS operators are also introduced. We study the performance of the proposed approach in a real problem of Energy demand estimation in Spain, from 14 macroeconomic variables with values for the last 30 years, including years of the crisis, from 2008. The performance of the proposed HS with feature selection is excellent, providing an accurate one year ahead prediction that improves previous proposals in the literature.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
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