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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao https://doi.org/10.1...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-...
Part of book or chapter of book . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
License: Springer TDM
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The Phillips Curve

Authors: Charles Goodhart; Manoj Pradhan;

The Phillips Curve

Abstract

Is the Phillips curve dead, or simply dormant? The Phillips curve traces out the relationship between the degree of slack in the labour market (unemployment) and the rate of change in wages, and hence in prices. After nearly a century in which this relationship held well (1870–1960), it broke down in the 1970s as both unemployment and inflation rose (stagflation), owing to a failure to take proper account of expectations of future inflation. More recently, the relationship has again puzzled economists, since inflation has remained quite steady and low despite large swings in unemployment, up in 2009/2010 and down since then. Goodhart and Pradhan discuss six possible (partial) explanations, which are: i. The Phillips curve is defunct; ii. Expectations are all that matter; iii. Successful monetary policies; iv. A changing structure of employment; v. Growing weight on global factors; vi. A shifting NRU. The final explanation, mostly ignored in the conventional analysis thus far, likely explains more of the Phillips curve puzzle than the rest in their view.

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selected citations
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This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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