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Wildlife Society Bulletin
Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
Data sources: Crossref
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Wildlife Society Bulletin
Article . 2017
Data sources: DOAJ
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Visibility bias for sage‐grouse lek counts

Authors: Jeremy A. Baumgardt; Kerry P. Reese; John W. Connelly; Edward O. Garton;

Visibility bias for sage‐grouse lek counts

Abstract

ABSTRACT Declining populations of greater sage‐grouse ( Centrocercus urophasianus ; hereafter, sage‐grouse) necessitate accurate estimates of population trends. The most widespread approach to monitoring sage‐grouse populations involves counting males attending leks and tracking changes across years. Visibility of male sage‐grouse on leks is likely <100% for numerous reasons, but this potential bias has generally been overlooked. Our objectives were to estimate the visibility bias (failure to enumerate all males on a lek during a count) of sage‐grouse and identify variables that influence visibility of males attending leks by developing a sightability model. We conducted simultaneous counts of male sage‐grouse from a truck using standard lek‐counting procedures and ground blinds during 2007–2009 in south‐central Idaho, USA. We built candidate sightability models using logistic regression with proportion counted from the blind that were also counted from the truck as the response variable. Naïve visibility in our study averaged 79%. Our sightability model suggests visibility bias decreased when sun was shining on the lek and when female birds were present, but increased with time of day. Additionally, cloud cover appeared to negatively affect visibility before sunrise, but improved visibility later in the mornings. Per our model, average visibility of male sage‐grouse on leks decreased 16% from 33 min before sunrise to 90 min past sunrise when both female birds and direct sun were recorded, and decreased 28% over the same time without direct sun or females. Additionally, our model predicted visibility decreased 9% as cloud cover increased from 0% to 100% at 30 min before sunrise, but increased 44% as cloud cover increased from 0% to 100% at 90 min past sunrise. Our study does not suggest the visibility bias we observed necessarily relates to a bias in the lek route index. However, by accounting for visibility bias, detecting population changes should require fewer counts or be evident with fewer years of data. © 2017 The Wildlife Society.

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Keywords

Centrocercus urophasianus, sightability model, lek counts, population index, Idaho, General. Including nature conservation, geographical distribution, greater sage‐grouse, QH1-199.5

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
13
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
gold