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Article . 2018 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2018
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Vector autoregression and envelope model

Authors: Lei Wang; Shanshan Ding;

Vector autoregression and envelope model

Abstract

Vector autoregression is an important technique for modelling multivariate time series and has been widely used in a variety of applications. Owing to its fast growth of parameters with the dimension of the time series vector, dimension reduction is often desirable in multivariate time series analysis. The envelope model is a new approach to achieve dimension reduction and allows efficient estimation in multivariate analysis. In this paper, we provide the first work to explore the application and extension of envelope models to multivariate time series data. We present the envelope and partial envelope formulations for vector autoregression and elaborate model selection, parameter estimation and asymptotic results. Simulations and real data analysis demonstrate the efficiency gains of the envelope vector autoregression models compared with the standard models in terms of estimation. Meanwhile, the envelope models can excel in prediction improvement.

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Keywords

Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH), dimension reduction, Estimation in multivariate analysis, reducing subspace, partial envelope model, vector autoregression, envelope model

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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
12
Top 10%
Average
Average
gold