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Statistics in Medicine
Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
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zbMATH Open
Article . 2019
Data sources: zbMATH Open
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Continuous‐time causal mediation analysis

Continuous-time causal mediation analysis
Authors: Jeffrey M. Albert; Youjun Li; Jiayang Sun; Wojbor A. Woyczynski; Suchitra Nelson;

Continuous‐time causal mediation analysis

Abstract

While causal mediation analysis has seen considerable recent development for a single measured mediator (M) and final outcome (Y), less attention has been given to repeatedly measured M and Y. Previous methods have typically involved discrete‐time models that limit inference to the particular measurement times used and do not recognize the continuous nature of the mediation process over time. To overcome such limitations, we present a new continuous‐time approach to causal mediation analysis that uses a differential equations model in a potential outcomes framework to describe the causal relationships among model variables over time. A connection between the differential equation models and standard repeated measures models is made to provide convenient model formulation and fitting. A continuous‐time extension of the sequential ignorability assumption allows for identifiable natural direct and indirect effects as functions of time, with estimation based on a two‐step approach to model fitting in conjunction with a continuous‐time mediation formula. Novel features include a measure of an overall mediation effect based on the “area between the curves,” and an approach for predicting the effects of new interventions. Simulation studies show good properties of estimators and the new methodology is applied to data from a cohort study to investigate sugary drink consumption as a mediator of the effect of socioeconomic status on dental caries in children.

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Keywords

longitudinal data, potential outcomes, Models, Statistical, mediation formula, differential equations, Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis, Time, Causality, dental caries, Humans, Computer Simulation, Longitudinal Studies

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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
10
Top 10%
Average
Average
bronze