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Statistics in Medicine
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2025
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2021
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Estimating Average Treatment Effects With Support Vector Machines

Estimating average treatment effects with support vector machines
Authors: Alexander Tarr; Kosuke Imai;

Estimating Average Treatment Effects With Support Vector Machines

Abstract

ABSTRACT Support vector machine (SVM) is one of the most popular classification algorithms in the machine learning literature. We demonstrate that SVM can be used to balance covariates and estimate average causal effects under the unconfoundedness assumption. Specifically, we adapt the SVM classifier as a kernel‐based weighting procedure that minimizes the maximum mean discrepancy between the treatment and control groups while simultaneously maximizing effective sample size. We also show that SVM is a continuous relaxation of the quadratic integer program for computing the largest balanced subset, establishing its direct relation to the cardinality matching method. Another important feature of SVM is that the regularization parameter controls the trade‐off between covariate balance and effective sample size. As a result, the existing SVM path algorithm can be used to compute the balance‐sample size frontier. We characterize the bias of causal effect estimation arising from this trade‐off, connecting the proposed SVM procedure to the existing kernel balancing methods. Finally, we conduct simulation and empirical studies to evaluate the performance of the proposed methodology and find that SVM is competitive with the state‐of‐the‐art covariate balancing methods.

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Keywords

FOS: Computer and information sciences, Support Vector Machine, Models, Statistical, matching, covariate balance, Machine Learning (stat.ML), Statistics - Applications, Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis, Methodology (stat.ME), subset selection, Treatment Outcome, Statistics - Machine Learning, Sample Size, Humans, Computer Simulation, Applications (stat.AP), weighting, causal inference, Statistics - Methodology, Algorithms

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    popularity
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    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green