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Statistical Analysis and Data Mining The ASA Data Science Journal
Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
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Data sources: Crossref
https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2020
License: arXiv Non-Exclusive Distribution
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DBLP
Article . 2021
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Precision aggregated local models

Authors: Adam M. Edwards; Robert B. Gramacy;

Precision aggregated local models

Abstract

AbstractLarge‐scale Gaussian process (GP) regression is infeasible for large training data due to cubic scaling of flops and quadratic storage involved in working with covariance matrices. Remedies in recent literature focus on divide‐and‐conquer, for example, partitioning into subproblems and inducing functional (and thus computational) independence. Such approximations can be speedy, accurate, and sometimes even more flexible than ordinary GPs. However, a big downside is loss of continuity at partition boundaries. Modern methods like local approximate GPs (LAGPs) imply effectively infinite partitioning and are thus both good and bad in this regard. Model averaging, an alternative to divide‐and‐conquer, can maintain absolute continuity but often over‐smooths, diminishing accuracy. Here we propose putting LAGP‐like methods into a local experts‐like framework, blending partition‐based speed with model‐averaging continuity, as a flagship example of what we call precision aggregated local models (PALM). Using LAGPs, each selecting from total data pairs, our scheme is at most cubic in , quadratic in , and linear in . Extensive empirical illustration shows how PALM is at least as accurate as LAGP, can be much faster, and furnishes continuous predictions. Finally, we propose sequential updating scheme that greedily refines a PALM predictor up to a computational budget.

Related Organizations
Keywords

Methodology (stat.ME), FOS: Computer and information sciences, Statistics - Computation, Statistics - Methodology, Computation (stat.CO)

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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
5
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
bronze