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Journal of Applied Econometrics
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Journal of Applied Econometrics
Article
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Theses@asb
Article . 2021
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PURE Aarhus University
Article . 2021
License: CC BY NC ND
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Unobserved components with stochastic volatility: Simulation‐based estimation and signal extraction

Simulation-based estimation and signal extraction
Authors: Mengheng Li; Siem Jan Koopman;

Unobserved components with stochastic volatility: Simulation‐based estimation and signal extraction

Abstract

SummaryThe unobserved components time series model with stochastic volatility has gained much interest in econometrics, especially for the purpose of modelling and forecasting inflation. We present a feasible simulated maximum likelihood method for parameter estimation from a classical perspective. The method can also be used for evaluating the marginal likelihood function in a Bayesian analysis. We show that our simulation‐based method is computationally feasible, for both univariate and multivariate models. We assess the performance of the method in a Monte Carlo study. In an empirical study, we analyse U.S. headline inflation using different univariate and multivariate model specifications.

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Denmark, Netherlands
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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
6
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
hybrid