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Journal of Forecasting
Article
License: CC BY
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Journal of Forecasting
Article . 2006 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley TDM
Data sources: Crossref
https://dx.doi.org/10.1184/r1/...
Other literature type . 2004
Data sources: Datacite
https://dx.doi.org/10.1184/r1/...
Other literature type . 2004
Data sources: Datacite
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Long-memory dynamic Tobit models

Authors: Brockwell, Anthony; N. H. Chan;

Long-memory dynamic Tobit models

Abstract

We introduce a long-memory dynamic Tobit model, defining it as a censored version of a fractionally-integrated Gaussian ARMA model, which may include seasonal components and/or additional regression variables. Parameter estimation for such a model using standard techniques is typically infeasible, since the model is not Markovian, cannot be expressed in a finite-dimensional state-space form, and includes censored observations. Furthermore, the long-memory property renders a standard Gibbs sampling scheme impractical. Therefore we introduce a new Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling scheme, which is orders of magnitude more efficient than the standard Gibbs sampler. The method is inherently capable of handling missing observations. In case studies, the model is fit to two time series: one consisting of volumes of requests to a hard disk over time, and the other consisting of hourly rainfall measurements in Edinburgh over a two-year period. The resulting posterior distributions for the fractional differencing parameter demonstrate, for these two time series, the importance of the long-memory structure in the models.

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Keywords

Statistics, FOS: Mathematics, Probability

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
5
Average
Average
Average
hybrid