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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Journal of Forecasti...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
Journal of Forecasting
Article . 2015 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
zbMATH Open
Article . 2016
Data sources: zbMATH Open
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Backtesting Aggregate Risk

Backtesting aggregate risk
Authors: Danciulescu, Cristina;

Backtesting Aggregate Risk

Abstract

This paper proposes the implementation of a VaR backtesting procedure able to overcome the subadditivity property failure of value‐at‐risk (VaR). More precisely, we propose the implementation of a multivariate portmanteau test statistic of Ljung–Box type applied to hits collected from several trading desks or divisions at once. Simulation \exercises illustrate that this method is testing for aggregate risk, accurately accounting both for diversification (negative hit cross‐correlation) and contagion/risk spillovers (positive hit cross‐correlation). An application using profit and loss and VaR data collected for two international major banks illustrates how our proposed backtesting procedure performs in a realistic environment. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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Keywords

Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics, multivariate portmanteau test statistic, Numerical methods (including Monte Carlo methods), multivariate testing, integrated risk management, VaR, Statistical methods; risk measures

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
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