
doi: 10.1002/for.1005
handle: 11588/103077 , 11386/1634427
AbstractIn order to avoid ‘frailty’ in deterministic assumptions concerning survival law, in this paper stochastic volatility in the force of mortality is considered. In particular, mortality rates are studied by means of a stochastic model of CIR type. A method for estimating its parameters is presented and an example of application, based on simulations of the process, is shown. Empirical results and comparison with a traditional model illustrate predictive performance and the flexibility of the model. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
covariance equivalence, mortality forecasting; survival law; covariance equivalence, mortality forecasting, survival law, mortality forecasting, CIR model, covariance equivalence, survival law
covariance equivalence, mortality forecasting; survival law; covariance equivalence, mortality forecasting, survival law, mortality forecasting, CIR model, covariance equivalence, survival law
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