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A joint Bayesian space–time model to integrate spatially misaligned air pollution data in R‐INLA

A joint Bayesian space-time model to integrate spatially misaligned air pollution data in R-INLA
Authors: C. Forlani; S. Bhatt; M. Cameletti; E. Krainski; M. Blangiardo;

A joint Bayesian space–time model to integrate spatially misaligned air pollution data in R‐INLA

Abstract

AbstractIn air pollution studies, dispersion models provide estimates of concentration at grid level covering the entire spatial domain and are then calibrated against measurements from monitoring stations. However, these different data sources are misaligned in space and time. If misalignment is not considered, it can bias the predictions. We aim at demonstrating how the combination of multiple data sources, such as dispersion model outputs, ground observations, and covariates, leads to more accurate predictions of air pollution at grid level. We consider nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentration in Greater London and surroundings for the years 2007–2011 and combine two different dispersion models. Different sets of spatial and temporal effects are included in order to obtain the best predictive capability. Our proposed model is framed in between calibration and Bayesian melding techniques for data fusion. Unlike other examples, we jointly model the response (concentration level at monitoring stations) and the dispersion model outputs on different scales, accounting for the different sources of uncertainty. Our spatiotemporal model allows us to reconstruct the latent fields of each model component, and to predict daily pollution concentrations. We compare the predictive capability of our proposed model with other established methods to account for misalignment (e.g., bilinear interpolation), showing that in our case study the joint model is a better alternative.

Countries
Italy, United Kingdom
Keywords

Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications, FOS: Computer and information sciences, 330, Statistics & Probability, 05 Environmental Sciences, Environmental Sciences & Ecology, NO2, Statistics - Applications, Interdisciplinary Applications, Applications (stat.AP), data integration, geostatistical model, 01 Mathematical Sciences, SPDE, NO\(_2\), coregionalization model, coregionalization model; data integration; geostatistical model; NO2; SPDE, Science & Technology, FIELDS, OUTPUT, Physical Sciences, HEALTH, Applications of statistics to environmental and related topics, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, Environmental Sciences, Mathematics

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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
22
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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