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Canadian Journal of Statistics
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
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zbMATH Open
Article . 2023
Data sources: zbMATH Open
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Confidence sequences with composite likelihoods

Authors: Pace L.; Salvan A.; Sartori N.;

Confidence sequences with composite likelihoods

Abstract

AbstractIn dominated parametric statistical models, confidence sequences provide conservatively valid frequentist inference directly from a likelihood ratio. They ensure a specific mode of replicability when inference is performed on accumulating data: inferential conclusions that are compatible with a guaranteed probability when the sample is enlarged, in the form of overlapping confidence regions. Here we consider both Robbins' mixture confidence sequences and running maximum likelihood confidence sequences recently considered by Wasserman, Ramdas, and Balakrishnan. We compare through simulation the replicability properties of the two kinds of confidence sequences, evaluating, along a prospected enlargement of the sample, the frequency of incompatible estimation intervals and the frequency of failure of simultaneous coverage of the true parameter value. Moreover, we propose a shortcut to extend the application of mixture confidence sequences to pseudo‐likelihoods, in particular to composite likelihood. The main assumption required is that normal asymptotic theory offers a good approximation to the density of the maximizer of the pseudo‐likelihood. When inference is about a scalar parameter of interest, the computation of the proposed sequence of confidence intervals is straightforward. The method is illustrated by an example with replicability properties evaluated through simulation.

Countries
Italy, Italy
Related Organizations
Keywords

Pseudo-likelihood; replicability; safe inference; statistical evidence; universal inference, pseudo-likelihood, Statistics, universal inference, replicability, safe inference, statistical evidence

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green
hybrid