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Biometrical Journal
Article . 2013 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2013
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Partial summary measures of the predictiveness curve

Authors: Sachs, Michael C.; Zhou, Xiao-Hua;

Partial summary measures of the predictiveness curve

Abstract

In the evaluation of a biomarker for risk prediction, one can assess the performance of the biomarker in the population of interest by displaying the predictiveness curve. In conjunction with an assessment of the classification accuracy of a biomarker, the predictiveness curve is an important tool for assessing the usefulness of a risk prediction model. Inference for a single biomarker or for multiple biomarkers can be performed using summary measures of the predictiveness curve. We propose two partial summary measures, the partial total gain and the partial proportion of explained variation, that summarize the predictiveness curve over a restricted range of risk. The methods we describe can be used to compare two biomarkers when there are existing thresholds for risk stratification. We describe inferential tools for one and two samples that are shown to have adequate power in a simulation study. The methods are illustrated by assessing the accuracy of a risk score for predicting the onset of Alzheimer's disease.

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Keywords

Risk, Biometry, prediction, Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis, summary statistic, Cognition, classification, Alzheimer Disease, biomarker, Humans

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
5
Average
Average
Average
bronze
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