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Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2022
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2021
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The Variance Gamma++ process and applications to energy markets

The variance gamma++ process and applications to energy markets
Authors: Matteo Gardini; Piergiacomo Sabino; Emanuela Sasso;

The Variance Gamma++ process and applications to energy markets

Abstract

AbstractThe purpose of this article is to introduce a new Lévy process, termed the Variance Gamma++ process, to model the dynamics of assets in illiquid markets. Such a process has the mathematical tractability of the Variance Gamma process and is obtained by applying the self‐decomposability of the gamma law. Compared to the Variance Gamma model, it has an additional parameter representing the measure of the trading activity. We give a full characterization of the Variance Gamma++ process in terms of its characteristic triplet, characteristic function, and transition density. In addition, we provide efficient path simulation algorithms, both forward and backward in time. We also obtain an efficient “integral‐free” explicit pricing formula for European options. These results are instrumental to apply Fourier‐based option pricing and maximum likelihood techniques for the parameter estimation. Finally, we apply our model to illiquid markets, namely to the calibration of European power futures market data. We accordingly evaluate exotic derivatives using the Monte Carlo method and compare these values to those obtained using the Variance Gamma process and give an economic interpretation. Finally, we illustrate an extension to the multivariate framework.

Country
Italy
Related Organizations
Keywords

G.5.1, Statistics, Probability (math.PR), Computational Finance (q-fin.CP), self-decomposability, Mathematical Finance (q-fin.MF), FFT, FOS: Economics and business, Quantitative Finance - Computational Finance, Lévy processes, Quantitative Finance - Mathematical Finance, energy markets, FOS: Mathematics, energy markets; FFT; Levy processes; Monte Carlo; option pricing; self-decomposability, G.3, I.6, Monte Carlo, option pricing, Mathematics - Probability

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
5
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
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bronze
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