
doi: 10.1002/asmb.2355
AbstractA two‐armed bandit model using a Bayesian approach is formulated and investigated in this paper with the goal of maximizing the value of a certain criterion of optimality. The bandit model illustrates the trade‐off between exploration and exploitation, where exploration means acquiring scientific acknowledge for better‐informed decisions at later stages (ie, maximizing long‐term benefit), and exploitation means applying the current knowledge for the best possible outcome at the current stage (ie, maximizing the immediate expected payoff). When one arm has known characteristics, stochastic dynamic programming is applied to characterize the optimal strategy and provide the foundation for its calculation. The results show that the celebrated Gittins index can be approximated by a monotonic sequence of break‐even values. When both arms are unknown, we derive a special case of optimality of the myopic strategy.
bandit processes, Gittins index, Statistics, Bayesian method, Markov decision processes, optimal strategy
bandit processes, Gittins index, Statistics, Bayesian method, Markov decision processes, optimal strategy
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 0 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Average | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
