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Applications in Plant Sciences
Article . 2019 . Peer-reviewed
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Applications in Plant Sciences
Article
License: CC BY NC ND
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PhenoForecaster: A software package for the prediction of flowering phenology

Authors: Isaac Park; Alex Jones; Susan J. Mazer;

PhenoForecaster: A software package for the prediction of flowering phenology

Abstract

Premise of the StudyPredicting the flowering times of angiosperm taxa is a goal of mounting importance in the face of future climate change, with applications not only in plant biology and ecology, but also horticulture, agriculture, and invasive species management. To date, no tool is available to facilitate predictions of flowering phenology using multivariate phenoclimatic models. Such a tool is needed by researchers and other stakeholders who need to predict phenological activity, but are unfamiliar with phenoclimate modeling techniques. PhenoForecaster allows users of any background to conduct species‐specific phenological predictions using an intuitive graphical interface and provides an estimate of each prediction's accuracy.Methods and ResultsElastic net regression techniques were used to develop species‐specific models capable of predicting the flowering dates of 2320 angiosperm species.ConclusionsPhenoForecaster is the first stand‐alone package to make phenological modeling directly accessible to users without the need for in‐depth phenological observations.

Country
United States
Related Organizations
Keywords

Crop and Pasture Production, 580, Agricultural, 570, flowering, phenoclimate models, 3004 Crop and pasture production (for-2020), herbarium specimens, 3004 Crop and Pasture Production (for-2020), Veterinary and Food Sciences, 0703 Crop and Pasture Production (for), Software Notes, 30 Agricultural, phenology, Veterinary and Food Sciences (for-2020), bloom timing, phenological models, elastic net regularization

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    popularity
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    influence
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
20
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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