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Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
Data sources: Crossref
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Mid‐Holocene permafrost: Results from CMIP5 simulations

Authors: Yeyi Liu; Dabang Jiang;

Mid‐Holocene permafrost: Results from CMIP5 simulations

Abstract

AbstractDistribution of frozen ground and active layer thickness in the Northern Hemisphere during the mid‐Holocene (MH) and differences with respect to the preindustrial (PI) were investigated here using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) models. Two typical diagnostic methods, respectively, based on soil temperature (Ts based; a direct method) and air temperature (Ta based; an indirect method) were employed to classify categories and extents of frozen ground. In relation to orbitally induced changes in climate and in turn freezing and thawing indices, the MH permafrost extent was 20.5% (1.8%) smaller than the PI, whereas seasonally frozen ground increased by 9.2% (0.8%) in the Northern Hemisphere according to the Ts‐based (Ta‐based) method. Active layer thickness became larger, but by ≤ 1.0 m in most of permafrost areas during the MH. Intermodel disagreement remains within areas of permafrost boundary by both the Ts‐based and Ta‐based results, with the former demonstrating less agreement among the CMIP5 models because of larger variation in land model abilities to represent permafrost processes. However, both the methods were able to reproduce the MH relatively degenerated permafrost and increased active layer thickness (although with smaller magnitudes) as observed in data reconstruction. Disparity between simulation and reconstruction was mainly found in the seasonally frozen ground regions at low to middle latitudes, where the reconstruction suggested a reduction of seasonally frozen ground extent to the north, whereas the simulation demonstrated a slightly expansion to the south for the MH compared to the PI.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
8
Average
Average
Top 10%
bronze