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Концептуальні основи прогнозування ефективного використання господарського потенціалу Карпатського регіону

Концептуальні основи прогнозування ефективного використання господарського потенціалу Карпатського регіону

Abstract

The research is carried out in the field of economic geography. The aim of this article is to raise the efficiency of economic potential of Carpathian region. The need for forecasting natural resource is described with particular attention. This paper proposes a new approach to the study of the region's economic potential, which is the object of the prediction. Content potential acquires new characteristics, which are dynamism and discrete.Studying the properties of types of resources gives the possibility of constructing system of indicators for forecasting of efficiency use the Carpathian’s potential. System of indicators must meet the following requirements: to comply with the norms and standards in Ukraine; do not conflict with the range of official statistics; be consistent with international guidelines on the assessment of the effective use of natural resources in the region. Special attention was paid to the methods of prediction of economic potential. Two basic methods according to which high level of reliability of forecast may be distinguished were singled out. Firstly, extrapolation method is recommended for data forecasting. Secondly, expert assessments are used for correction calculations. The results of the study are useful for development of regional and local programs of preservation and use of natural resources.

Рассмотрены основные параметры хозяйственного потенциала как единого целого и в разрезе его составляющих компонентов. Обоснованы основные виды ресурсов потенциала региона в контексте прогнозирования. Предложена система показателей и индикаторов хозяйственного потенциала, которые имеют практическое значение для прогнозирования эффективности его использования в будущем. Определены оптимальные методы, по которым рекомендуется проводить прогнозирование эффективного использования хозяйственного потенциала Карпатского региона.

Розглянуто головні характеристики господарського потенціалу в цілому та в розрізі його складових компонентів. Обґрунтовано основні види ресурсів потенціалу регіону в контексті прогнозної діяльності. Запропоновано систему показників та індикаторів господарського потенціалу, які мають практичне значення для прогнозування ефективності його використання у майбутньому. Визначено оптимальні методи, за якими рекомендовано проводити прогнозування ефективного використання господарського потенціалу Карпатського регіону.

Keywords

господарський потенціал; прогнозування; регіон; показник; ефективність, economic potential; prediction; region; index; efficiency, UDC 330.15(477.8), УДК 330.15(477.8), хозяйственный потенциал; прогнозирование; регион; показатель; эффективность, Human geography

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
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