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IEEE Access
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
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IEEE Access
Article . 2022
Data sources: DOAJ
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Probabilistic and Deterministic Wind Speed Prediction: Ensemble Statistical Deep Regression Network

Authors: Solmaz Farahbod; Taher Niknam; Mohammad Mohammadi; Jamshid Aghaei; Sattar Shojaeiyan;

Probabilistic and Deterministic Wind Speed Prediction: Ensemble Statistical Deep Regression Network

Abstract

Wind energy as one of the most promising energy alternatives brings a set of serious challenges in the operation of power systems because of the uncertain nature of wind speed. To address this problem, it is essential to establish a framework to forecast a comprehensive form of information about the wind speed. To this end, an ensemble residual regression deep network is designed to understand fully time-variant and spatial features from the historical data including wind speed and corresponding meteorological data. Then, to enhance the accuracy, a modified error-based loss function is proposed. Consequently, to provide a comprehensive form of information, a modified kernel density estimator is proposed to extract a set of probability density functions (PDFs) with a high level of accuracy and reliability. The simulation results and a comparative analysis on an actual dataset in London, U.K. demonstrate the high capability of the proposed probabilistic wind speed approach.

Country
Finland
Related Organizations
Keywords

modified kernel density estimation, probability density function (PDF), residual deep network, Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering, Wind speed prediction, TK1-9971

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
8
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
gold