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A soft-linking method for responsive modelling of decarbonisation scenario costs

Authors: Ché Cameron; Aoife Foley; Henrik Lund; Seán McLoone;

A soft-linking method for responsive modelling of decarbonisation scenario costs

Abstract

This study presents a methodology that integrates EnergyPLAN and Quintel Energy Transition Model (ETM). Quintel ETM encompasses a holistic view of energy demand and supply from a fixed base year and its user interface enables unparalleled public engagement, but it is constrained by its limited flexibility in updating deeply embedded cost parameters. This shortcoming becomes critical when considering the rapid pace of technological change and market volatility which is characteristic of contemporary energy systems. EnergyPLAN, with its focus on detailed, customizable cost analysis in heating and power sectors, compensates for these limitations by offering a user-friendly interface and a track record of validated costing approaches. This work contributes the `epnlink` python library for EnergyPLAN – a flexible input-output parser with functionality that extends beyond this study. A soft-linking methodology to map ETM outputs to EnergyPLAN inputs is developed and demonstrated on a case study of Northern Ireland. Alternative pathways to net zero carbon by 2050 are explored, where infrastructure for power and non-industrial heat, and total fuel usage are costed. The demonstrated pipeline has broad applicability as a template to enhance the agility and precision of key cost projections for responsive and strategic energy planning across diverse geographical contexts.

Countries
United Kingdom, Denmark
Keywords

/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2100/2105, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/3300/3305; name=Geography, Planning and Development, Energy system cost, name=Energy Engineering and Power Technology, EnergyPLAN, name=SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2100/2105; name=Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, 333, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/affordable_and_clean_energy; name=SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, Soft-linking, Future energy system, name=Renewable Energy, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2100/2102, Planning and Development, H1-99, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/affordable_and_clean_energy, Sustainability and the Environment, Quintel, Future energy systems, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/3300/3305, Energy System Cost, Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General), name=Geography, Social sciences (General), Soft-Linking, TA1-2040, /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2100/2102; name=Energy Engineering and Power Technology

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Green
Published in a Diamond OA journal