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Water Practice & Technology
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
Water Practice & Technology
Article . 2023
Data sources: DOAJ
https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/h0...
Other literature type . 2023
Data sources: Datacite
https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/ra...
Other literature type . 2023
Data sources: Datacite
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Monthly streamflow forecasting for the Hunza River Basin using machine learning techniques

التنبؤ بتدفق التدفق الشهري لحوض نهر هونزا باستخدام تقنيات التعلم الآلي
Authors: Sunaid Khan; Mehran Khan; Afed Ullah Khan; Fayaz Ahmad Khan; Sohail Khan; Muhammad Fawad;

Monthly streamflow forecasting for the Hunza River Basin using machine learning techniques

Abstract

Abstract Streamflow forecasting is crucial for planning, designing, and managing water resources. Accurate streamflow forecasting is essential in developing water resource systems that are both technically and economically efficient. This study tested several machine learning techniques to estimate monthly streamflow data in the Hunza River Basin, Pakistan, using streamflow, precipitation, and air temperature data between 1985 and 2013. The techniques tested included adaptive boosting (AB), gradient boosting (GB), random forest (RF), and K-nearest neighbors (KNN). The models were developed using river discharge as the target variable, while air temperature and precipitation as the input variables. The model's performance was assessed via four statistical performance indicators namely root mean square error (RMSE), mean square error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and coefficient of determination (R2). The results obtained for RMSE, MSE, MAE, and R2 using AB, GB, RF, and KNN techniques are (16.8, 281, 6.53, and 0.998), (95.1, 9,047, 61.5, and 0.921), (126.8, 16,078, 74.6, and 0.859), and (219.9, 48,356, 146.3, and 0.775), respectively. The results indicate that AB outperforms GB, RF, and KNN in predicting monthly streamflow for the Hunza River Basin. Machine learning, particularly AB, offers a reliable approach for streamflow forecasting, aiding hazard and water management in the area.

Keywords

Precipitation, Boosting (machine learning), gradient boosting, Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering, Hydrological Modeling using Machine Learning Methods, TD1-1066, Streamflow Trends, Water Science and Technology, Global and Planetary Change, Geography, Statistics, Groundwater Level Forecasting, Hydrology (agriculture), Geology, machine learning, Hydrological Modeling and Water Resource Management, Physical Sciences, Gradient boosting, streamflow, adaptive boosting, Cartography, Environmental Engineering, Rainfall-Runoff Modeling, Drainage basin, forecasting, Streamflow, Environmental science, Global Flood Risk Assessment and Management, Meteorology, Machine learning, FOS: Mathematics, knn, FOS: Environmental engineering, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Computer science, Geotechnical engineering, Environmental Science, Mean squared error, random forest, Flood Inundation Modeling, Mathematics, Forecasting, Random forest

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
6
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
gold