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Other literature type . 2023
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European Journal of Operational Research
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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An optimization model for planning testing and control strategies to limit the spread of a pandemic – The case of COVID-19

Authors: Adam F. Abdin; Douglas Alem; Anne Barros; Yi-Ping Fang; Aakil M. Caunhye; Enrico Zio; Enrico Zio;

An optimization model for planning testing and control strategies to limit the spread of a pandemic – The case of COVID-19

Abstract

The global health crisis caused by the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 has highlighted the importance of efficient disease detection and control strategies for minimizing the number of infections and deaths in the population and halting the spread of the pandemic. Countries have shown different preparedness levels for promptly implementing disease detection strategies, via mass testing and isolation of identified cases, which led to a largely varying impact of the outbreak on the populations and health-care systems. In this paper, we propose a new pandemic resource allocation model for allocating limited disease detection and control resources, in particular testing capacities, in order to limit the spread of a pandemic. The proposed model is a novel epidemiological compartmental model formulated as a non-linear programming model that is suitable to address the inherent non-linearity of an infectious disease progression within the population. A number of novel features are implemented in the model to take into account important disease characteristics, such as asymptomatic infection and the distinct risk levels of infection within different segments of the population. Moreover, a method is proposed to estimate the vulnerability level of the different communities impacted by the pandemic and to explicitly consider equity in the resource allocation problem. The model is validated against real data for a case study of COVID-19 outbreak in France and our results provide various insights on the optimal testing intervention time and level, and the impact of the optimal allocation of testing resources on the spread of the disease among regions. The results confirm the significance of the proposed modeling framework for informing policymakers on the best preparedness strategies against future infectious disease outbreaks.

Keywords

pandemic control, (s) decision support systems, Pandemic Control, (S) decision support systems, (S) Decision Support Systems, 610, COVID-19, non-linear programming, Disaster Preparedness, Article, [SPI]Engineering Sciences [physics], Mixed-Integer Non-linear Programming, [INFO.INFO-RO]Computer Science [cs]/Operations Research [math.OC], [MATH.MATH-OC]Mathematics [math]/Optimization and Control [math.OC], Covid-19, Disaster preparedness, Pandemic control, disaster preparedness, Non-linear programming

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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
44
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 1%
Green
bronze