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The role of biomarkers and dosimetry parameters in overall and progression free survival prediction for patients treated with personalized 90Y glass microspheres SIRT: a preliminary machine learning study

a preliminary machine learning study
Authors: Mansouri, Zahra; Salimi, Yazdan; Hajianfar, Ghasem; Bianchetto Wolf, Nicola; Knappe, Luisa; Xhepa, Genti; Gleyzolle, Adrien; +4 Authors

The role of biomarkers and dosimetry parameters in overall and progression free survival prediction for patients treated with personalized 90Y glass microspheres SIRT: a preliminary machine learning study

Abstract

Abstract Background Overall Survival (OS) and Progression-Free Survival (PFS) analyses are crucial metrics for evaluating the efficacy and impact of treatment. This study evaluated the role of clinical biomarkers and dosimetry parameters on survival outcomes of patients undergoing 90Y selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT). Materials/Methods This preliminary and retrospective analysis included 17 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with 90Y SIRT. The patients underwent personalized treatment planning and voxel-wise dosimetry. After the procedure, the OS and PFS were evaluated. Three structures were delineated including tumoral liver (TL), normal perfused liver (NPL), and whole normal liver (WNL). 289 dose-volume constraints (DVCs) were extracted from dose-volume histograms of physical and biological effective dose (BED) maps calculated on 99mTc-MAA and 90Y SPECT/CT images. Subsequently, the DVCs and 16 clinical biomarkers were used as features for univariate and multivariate analysis. Cox proportional hazard ratio (HR) was employed for univariate analysis. HR and the concordance index (C-Index) were calculated for each feature. Using eight different strategies, a cross-combination of various models and feature selection (FS) methods was applied for multivariate analysis. The performance of each model was assessed using an averaged C-Index on a three-fold nested cross-validation framework. The Kaplan-Meier (KM) curve was employed for univariate and machine learning (ML) model performance assessment. Results The median OS was 11 months [95% CI: 8.5, 13.09], whereas the PFS was seven months [95% CI: 5.6, 10.98]. Univariate analysis demonstrated the presence of Ascites (HR: 9.2[1.8,47]) and the aim of SIRT (segmentectomy, lobectomy, palliative) (HR: 0.066 [0.0057, 0.78]), Aspartate aminotransferase (AST) level (HR:0.1 [0.012–0.86]), and MAA-Dose-V205(%)-TL (HR:8.5[1,72]) as predictors for OS. 90Y-derived parameters were associated with PFS but not with OS. MAA-Dose-V205(%)-WNL, MAA-BED-V400(%)-WNL with (HR:13 [1.5–120]) and 90Y-Dose-mean-TL, 90Y-D50-TL-Gy, 90Y-Dose-V205(%)-TL, 90Y-Dose- D50-TL-Gy, and 90Y-BED-V400(%)-TL (HR:15 [1.8–120]) were highly associated with PFS among dosimetry parameters. The highest C-index observed in multivariate analysis using ML was 0.94 ± 0.13 obtained from Variable Hunting-variable-importance (VH.VIMP) FS and Cox Proportional Hazard model predicting OS, using clinical features. However, the combination of VH. VIMP FS method with a Generalized Linear Model Network model predicting OS using Therapy strategy features outperformed the other models in terms of both C-index and stratification of KM curves (C-Index: 0.93 ± 0.14 and log-rank p-value of 0.023 for KM curve stratification). Conclusion This preliminary study confirmed the role played by baseline clinical biomarkers and dosimetry parameters in predicting the treatment outcome, paving the way for the establishment of a dose-effect relationship. In addition, the feasibility of using ML along with these features was demonstrated as a helpful tool in the clinical management of patients, both prior to and following 90Y-SIRT.

Keywords

Male, Liver Neoplasms / radiotherapy, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / radiotherapy, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / diagnostic imaging, Machine Learning, Machine learning, Biomarkers, Tumor, Humans, Overall survival, SIRT, Yttrium Radioisotopes, Yttrium Radioisotopes / therapeutic use, Precision Medicine, Radiometry, Aged, Retrospective Studies, 616.0757, Liver Neoplasms, Middle Aged, Microspheres, Progression-Free Survival, Y Radioembolization, 90Y Radioembolization, Progression free survival, Original Article, Female, Glass, Precision Medicine / methods, Liver Neoplasms / diagnostic imaging, Biomarkers

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
7
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
hybrid