
This paper aims to study the Central and Eastern European Countries' (CEECs) dynamics of financial integration in the euro area with the prospect of their integration into the European Monetary Union. Our empirical analysis is based, successively, on a MGARCH model with time-varying correlations, a state-space model and a Markov-switching model. The results show that financial integration (i) is not perfect but is increasing and (ii) is linked to currency stability. The growing financial integration in 2007-2009 seems to be rather the result of the shock propagated by the global crisis.
politique monétaire, model, 330, pays de l'est, zone monétaire, euro area, [SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, modèle, intégration financière, Central and Eastern European Countries, zone euro, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, modélisation, financial integration
politique monétaire, model, 330, pays de l'est, zone monétaire, euro area, [SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, modèle, intégration financière, Central and Eastern European Countries, zone euro, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, modélisation, financial integration
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